What analysts are thinking about digital assets.
AI x Digital Assets
Jeff Dorman argues Galaxy Digital operates as two distinct businesses—a crypto financial services arm and the Helios data center in West Texas—but investors treat it as one confused story. Galaxy acquired Helios for $65M in early 2023 as a distressed Bitcoin mining site, then signed a 15-year, $4.5B HPC/AI hosting deal with CoreWeave covering 526 MW of its approved 800 MW capacity, positioning it to generate over $1B annual revenue at ~90% lease-level EBITDA margins. A spin-off could unlock value by letting the data center business trade on infrastructure multiples rather than depressed crypto multiples, making Galaxy better positioned to capture growth from stablecoins, DeFi, RWA tokenization, and crypto-AI convergence.
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Lord_Wette's thesis is that the AI buildout's scarce asset is not land or GPUs but bankable time-to-power—approved, financed, deliverable capacity. Galaxy's Helios campus has moved furthest along this curve: CoreWeave committed to 800 MW with $1.4B project financing and 80% loan-to-cost, and ERCOT approval for an additional 830 MW creates a catalyst for multi-tenant, hyperscaler-grade validation. Unlike pure optionality plays, GLXY is already contracted and financed execution, with crypto optionality as a secondary engine if BTC/ETH rally.
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Modular Capital argues the U.S. power deficit of 50 GW through 2028 makes Bitcoin miners' converted data centers the lowest-cost path to AI infrastructure, with energized capacity priced at $30–50/MWh versus $80–150/MWh for alternatives like nuclear and fuel cells. Bitcoin miners holding 10+ GW of approved grid interconnection now command structural economics worth $5–10M per gross megawatt in HPC colocation deals, with recent transactions clearing at $1.24–$2.17 per critical IT watt annually and 80–97% EBITDA margins, while the sector at $4M equity value per approved MW implies only 50% conversion pricing, leaving asymmetric upside for operators with large approved portfolios and credible execution track records.