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Sam Schubert

@minnus

@Blockworks_, @blockworksres. Prev @Citi. Views are my own.

FundamentalStablecoins1,365 followers on X
Takes (all time)
5
Takes (30d)
1
Tickers covered
3

Takes

Filtered: last 90d

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Sam Schubert@minnus·14d

Solana Spreads: The Black Hole Begins

Sam argues Solana execution has materially surpassed centralized exchanges for SOL-USDC, with $5K-$20K trades costing 1.22 bps on Jupiter versus 8.33 bps on Binance VIP 9. The edge stems from permissionless prop AMM competition and aggregator enforcement, with Jupiter's routing reducing quoted spreads by 27-46% versus single venues. As infrastructure like Jito's Maker Priority Plugin and Alpenglow cut latency, the execution advantage is spreading to BTC and lower-liquidity assets, potentially establishing Solana as a credible execution layer for global trading flow if price discovery eventually moves onchain.

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Sam Schubert@minnus·51d

Bulk Perps: The Sidecar Thesis

Sam argues Solana's perps problem runs deeper than liquidity—the chain lacks execution guarantees market makers need for tight quotes, while Hyperliquid processes 5-10x Solana's entire perp volume. Bulk's answer is a validator-native sidecar network handling matching and risk separately from Solana's leader-based execution, paired with a SPAN-style portfolio-aware risk engine that cuts margin requirements 70%+ on hedged books—the institutional standard CME has used for decades but no live crypto venue currently offers. The model preserves composability by keeping collateral productive on Solana while supporting trades, with mainnet targeting this half.

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Sam Schubert@minnus·58d

Western Union's Stablecoin Bet

WU announced USDPT, a USD-pegged stablecoin on Solana via Anchorage Digital Bank (summer). Stock at ~5x P/E, 10%+ dividend yield — priced as value trap. $3.45B in settlement balances could compress cross-border cycles from days to minutes. WU's 'last mile' (hundreds of thousands of retail locations, compliance across 200+ countries) is the irreplaceable edge; GENIUS Act raises the compliance bar but makes WU's infra more valuable. Digital transactions +13% in Q4 2025 (39% of consumer volume). $500M Intermex acquisition adds 6M LatAm customers. Re-rate thesis: from dividend play to digital-payments infra (peers trade 10x+).

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Sam Schubert@minnus·68d

Solana Perps: Engineering the Missing Piece

Solana hosts crypto's deepest retail user base but has ceded perpetual futures dominance to Hyperliquid, which runs 5 to 10x the volume of Solana's entire perps complex. Sam Schubert attributes this to Solana's general-purpose design lacking the execution guarantees perp makers need—non-deterministic ordering, opaque fees, and rotating validator leaders every 1.6 seconds make quoting impractical. Three new protocols (Phoenix Perps, Bulk, Bullet) are attacking the execution gap with different approaches, but closing that gap may not matter if Solana can't convert its memecoin-focused retail base into active perps traders.